Korea’s probability of winning 66.7%

September 27, 2024 0 Comments

Sports Vivas, a Korean data start-up company, announced in a press release on the 30th (Korea Standard Time) that “the probability that Korea will advance to the quarterfinals by beating Saudi Arabia in the round of 16 at the 2023 Asian Cup is predicted to be 66.7 percent.”

The South Korean national soccer team, led by head coach Jürgen Klinsmann, will face Saudi Arabia in the round of 16 at the 2023 Asian Football Confederation (AFC) Asian Cup Qatar at Alaiyan Education City Stadium in Qatar at 1 a.m. on the 31st.

South Korea, which finished second with one win and two draws in Group E, met with Saudi Arabia, the No. 1 player in Group F and coach Robert Mancini. Saudi Arabia advanced to the round of 16 as the No. 1 player in its group with a perfect performance in which it only allowed one run while scoring four goals in three group matches.

A showdown between the two teams is considered the biggest big match in the round of 16 strongest teams in this tournament. Both Korea and Saudi Arabia are considered Asian soccer powerhouses, and they represented Asia at the 2022 Qatar World Cup finals. Korea made it to the round of 16, and Saudi Arabia surprised the world by winning against Argentina, who was eliminated from the group stage but became the champion of the tournament.

As both teams are representative of Asia’s soccer powerhouses, it is difficult to predict the winner, and a majority of overseas gamblers drew attention by predicting Korea’s advance to the quarterfinals.

“As a result of statistically analyzing the dividend rate movement of overseas gamblers, the probability that Korea will advance to the quarterfinals over Saudi Arabia was 66.7 percent,” Sports Vivas said. “Korea’s dominance over Saudi Arabia, which foreign gamblers predict, is about 0.8 goals.”

According to a survey conducted by the media, the probability of determining victory within 90 minutes of the first and second half of Korea was 52%. In the case of overtime, it was 8.1%, and the winning rate of the penalty shootout was 6.6%.

On the other hand, Saudi Arabia’s chances of beating Korea within the 90-minute regular time were 22 percent, which is a bit low. There is a 26 percent chance that the two teams will enter overtime because they could not see a match within 90 minutes.

“The most likely expected score of the Saudi match analyzed by Algorithm was South Korea’s 1-0 victory, with a probability of about 13.2 percent,” he said, adding, “After that, a 1-1 draw (12.1%) and a 2-0 victory (10.2%) by South Korea were expected to occur.” 토토사이트 추천

In the third Group E match against Malaysia on the 25th, Klinsmann had a 3-3 draw against the 130th-ranked FIFA. At that time, South Korea was on the verge of winning, but allowed an equalizer ahead of the end of the second half’s extra time. As the match ended in a draw, they finished second in Group E and met Saudi Arabia, the No. 1 player in Group F, in the round of 16.

Some soccer fans doubted the possibility of winning against Saudi Arabia because they were disappointed in the group stage, but statistics showed that South Korea was still dominant, raising fans’ expectations. As the data shows, attention is expected to be focused on whether Klinsmann will overcome Saudi Arabia and pass the first gate of the tournament to advance to the quarterfinals.

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